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The Defence industry

Lesson notes

This lesson focuses on the defence industry, an industry rumoured to be worth in excess of $ 400 billion in world wide sales and a market controlled by a small number of countries, and a relatively small number of companies.  This subject is topical as a result of the new American President, who has made increased military spending a priority for his administration.

Worksheet available at:  Defence industry


Beginning activity

The defence industry is a massive global industry, worth $ 577 Billion per year and is an oligopoly market, with just 10 nations responsible for 90% of world sales.  Start by investigating the nations with the largest sales of weaponry in 2023?

RankNationMarket share %
1USA30
2Russia12
3France8.9
4Germany6.2
5Spain5.9

Discussion on oligopoly markets

1. Why is an oligopoly market structure suitable for the world arms industry?

The defence industry fulfils each of the criteria required for an oligopoly to establish itself.  Weapons, especially high-tech weaponry is expensive to produce and there are considerable advantages to scale in the production of these products - research and development costs, automation, the use of specialist production machinery e.t.c. 

It is also an industry where there is considerable scope for product differentiation, which allows natural competition to take place, between businesses competing for sales.

2. What barriers to entry exist in the industry?

Very high start up costs, particularly with heavy weaponry and increasingly sophisticated devices such as GPS tracking technology and laser guided weapons.

Intellectual barriers are also evident in the industry with established nations such as UK, USA, France and Russia possessing a clear head start in terms of skills and know how.  Amongst emerging nations only China has established itself as a major player within the industry and much of their output is produced for domestic consumption, rather than exported.

There are also considerable legal barriers to entry within this industry with many governments insisting on purchasing weapons built in their own country, rather than those made overseas, for a combination of strategic and security reasons.  It would surely be risky for a nation to be dependent entirely on imported arms for their defence, given that alliances can quickly turn?

3. What prevents this industry becoming a monopoly, given the extensive barriers to entry present in the market?

As the reasons above highlight, many nations prefer to purchase their own produced goods, rather than relying on foreign made ones, for obvious security reasons.  Therefore, even a firm / nation producing vastly superior goods would not be able to achieve the level of market share enjoyed by say Apple in the smart phone market.  This is especially true of nations on less than peaceful terms.  It would be hard to imagine the USA, for example, selling weapons to certain Middle eastern groups (regardless of the price offered) hostile to their ally Israel.  Similarly, many NATO nations are restricted by who they can sell weaponry to, while other nations such as North Korea and Iran are subject to a military embargo, which prevents any (legal) sales from Nato members.

Activity

Why is the worlds arms industry growing so rapidly?  Is it a consequence of increased conflicts in today's world or are there other reasons for the growth in sales?  Consider the following:

YearNumber of deaths from armed conflict per 1m peopleArms sales to Developed nations by volume (thousand contracts signed)
19502201,270
1960521,300
197055910
1980421,050
1990208,380
20002113,359
2010711,019
20151224,475
202033628,479

Information accessed at: https://theblogbyjavier.com/tag/arms-sales/

Using the table above describe the link between the number of deaths caused by conflict and the level of arms sales.

Interestingly there appears to be no correlation between the two variables, if anything there appears to be a negative correlation.  As the world, statistically at least, has got safer the amount spent on defence has grown exponentially.  Therefore, an explanation for this increase needs to be sought elsewhere.

Who spends the most on defence and why?

Start by watching the following video and then explain why nations have increased spending on defence, despite no obvious sign of increased conflict.

The video starts with the assertion that spending on military hardware has little to do with defence requirements.  For example it highlights the case of Saudi Arabia, which now spends the third highest figure on defence, despite a population of just 32 million people and being in the middle of a severe financial crisis, caused by falling oil prices.  The motivation for spending so much is the nations self proclaimed status as the de facto head of the Arab League.

China is the worlds second largest weapons buyer and this may seem unusual for a nation that has not been involved in any conflict in the last half a century.  China's enormous spending would appear to be motivated by protecting its financial interests in Africa and the Pacific, much as the European colonial powers did during the nineteenth century.

Unsurprisingly the USA is the highest spender on the list and under a Trump administration this is likely to rise further.  The US military has a presence in over 150 nations and whether this makes the nation safer or more dangerous is open to interpretation.