Date | May 2011 | Marks available | 4 | Reference code | 11M.1.hl.TZ2.9 |
Level | HL only | Paper | 1 | Time zone | TZ2 |
Command term | What is | Question number | 9 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
A batch of 15 DVD players contains 4 that are defective. The DVD players are selected at random, one by one, and examined. The ones that are checked are not replaced.
What is the probability that there are exactly 3 defective DVD players in the first 8 DVD players examined?
What is the probability that the 9th DVD player examined is the 4th defective one found?
Markscheme
METHOD 1
P(3 defective in first 8) =(83)×415×314×213×1112×1011×910×89×78 M1A1A1
Note: Award M1 for multiplication of probabilities with decreasing denominators.
Award A1 for multiplication of correct eight probabilities.
Award A1 for multiplying by (83).
=56195 A1
METHOD 2
P(3 defective DVD players from 8) =(43)(115)(158) M1A1
Note: Award M1 for an expression of this form containing three combinations.
=4!3!1!×11!5!6!15!8!7! M1
=56195 A1
[4 marks]
P(9th selected is 4th defective player|3 defective in first 8)=17 (A1)
P(9th selected is 4th defective player)=56195×17 M1
=8195 A1
[3 marks]
Examiners report
There were two main methods used to complete this question, the most common being a combinations approach. Those who did this coped well with the factorial simplification. Many who did not manage the first part were able to complete the second part successfully.
There were two main methods used to complete this question, the most common being a combinations approach. Those who did this coped well with the factorial simplification. Many who did not manage the first part were able to complete the second part successfully.